Journalists Predicting the Political Future

Friday, September 16, 2011

Transcript

Republican Bob Turner defeated Democrat David Weprin to take control of New York’s 9th congressional district, the seat vacated by Anthony Weiner in June. This was widely reported as a sign that voter frustration with President Obama had trickled down into New York politics. Bob talks to political stat guru Nate Silver about whether he thinks this is a sign of things to come, or just over-extrapolation by the press. 

Comments [3]

Monte Haun

"BrettGlic

Politicians who don't listen to their voters, whether Pres. Obama or Gov. Cuomo & the Brooklyn/Queens bosses, make their voters mad. Their primary listening post - the party primary.

For not listening &/or fighting for their voter base, Pres. Obama, Gov. Cuomo & the Bklyn/Qns bosses have paid the price at the polls.
Sep. 18 2011 10:23 AM"

Yeah, they didn't listen or fight for their their voter base all right, their Fifth Column voter base that takes its orders from Israel.

Even though the MSM downplayed it, Mayor Koch made it pretty clear what really happened on "All Things Considered" tonight.

How sad!!

Monte Haun mchaun@hotmail.com

Sep. 18 2011 08:15 PM

Good segment. However 3 voter basics weren't mentioned.
1) Wiener was forced out by the Hill leadership/DNC, etc. in DC, not the primary voters in his district.
2) Gov. Cuomo & the NYC Dem leadership didn't allow the district voters to vote for their choice in a primary.
3) Those in 2 above allowed the local bosses to choose a candidate.

The Dem leadership took the vote away from their base 3x.

Politicians who don't listen to their voters, whether Pres. Obama or Gov. Cuomo & the Brooklyn/Queens bosses, make their voters mad. Their primary listening post - the party primary.

For not listening &/or fighting for their voter base, Pres. Obama, Gov. Cuomo & the Bklyn/Qns bosses have paid the price at the polls.

Sep. 18 2011 10:23 AM
listener

If both elections were clear victories for the Democrats, would the narrative in the media would be spun as an heroic comeback for the President and his party?
This week a thinly marginal district in Nevada and a democrat stronghold in NYC since the 1920s went strongly Republican as a once hugely popular and celebrated President's approval ratings plummet. Would it not be the height of denial and hubris to downplay those results, ignore the voice of the electorate and not change course? Nevertheless, that is exactly what seems to be happening.
The President who enjoyed the strong support of Congress for two years now blames it along with Bush for the nation's economic quagmire while forgetting that blame touches a large number of Democrat Congresspeople and Senators up for election. Will these members of Congress distance, it not totally abandon the President's re-election effort as he has abandoned them after their steadfast support?

Sep. 17 2011 11:56 AM

Leave a Comment

Email addresses are required but never displayed.